Dear Editor, The food industry emphasizes improving demand forecasting to align production with consumer needs and reduce waste. This letter thus presents a study that integrates artificial intelligence (AI) and digital twin (DT) technologies to enhance decision-making and efficiency in food production. A data-driven DT was implemented in an Italian company for Raspberry production planning, based on a daily demand forecasting tool powered by a dynamic extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm. The model achieved a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 16.37% with 1.69 average of absolute extra working hours (AEW) and a tracking signal (TS) range of [-1.9, +4.3].

Demand Forecasting Tool Driving the Digital Twin of a Perishable Food Process / Lucantoni, L., Croci, S., Mazzuto, G., Ciarapica, F.E., Bevilacqua, M., Perenzoni, S.. - In: IEEE/CAA JOURNAL OF AUTOMATICA SINICA. - ISSN 2329-9274. - 12:11(2025), pp. 2356-2358. [10.1109/JAS.2025.125591]

Demand Forecasting Tool Driving the Digital Twin of a Perishable Food Process

Lucantoni L.
;
Croci S.;Mazzuto G.;Ciarapica F. E.;Bevilacqua M.;
2025-01-01

Abstract

Dear Editor, The food industry emphasizes improving demand forecasting to align production with consumer needs and reduce waste. This letter thus presents a study that integrates artificial intelligence (AI) and digital twin (DT) technologies to enhance decision-making and efficiency in food production. A data-driven DT was implemented in an Italian company for Raspberry production planning, based on a daily demand forecasting tool powered by a dynamic extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm. The model achieved a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 16.37% with 1.69 average of absolute extra working hours (AEW) and a tracking signal (TS) range of [-1.9, +4.3].
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11566/362352
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