Machine learning models are usually assessed and compared in terms of predictive performance. Ensemble models, which average the predictions obtained from different models, often improve such performance. In this paper we show how to further improve the predictive accuracy of ensemble models, and allow them to achieve strong performance without retraining. To this aim we leverage the diversity among individual models, expressed by their covariance, computed on a subsample of the data ordered by the best model. We illustrate our proposal with applications to real data.

Hybrid ensemble machine learning models / Giudici, Paolo; Mariani, Francesca; Polinesi, Gloria. - In: PHYSICA. A. - ISSN 0378-4371. - 681:(2026). [10.1016/j.physa.2025.131083]

Hybrid ensemble machine learning models

Mariani, Francesca
Methodology
;
Polinesi, Gloria
Validation
2026-01-01

Abstract

Machine learning models are usually assessed and compared in terms of predictive performance. Ensemble models, which average the predictions obtained from different models, often improve such performance. In this paper we show how to further improve the predictive accuracy of ensemble models, and allow them to achieve strong performance without retraining. To this aim we leverage the diversity among individual models, expressed by their covariance, computed on a subsample of the data ordered by the best model. We illustrate our proposal with applications to real data.
2026
Ensemble; Mean squared error; Model averaging; Predictive accuracy
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11566/357672
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