Delayed Energy Demand–Supply Models with Gamma-Distributed Memory Kernels

The stability of energy demand–supply systems is often affected by delayed feedback caused by regulatory inertia, communication lags, and heterogeneous agent responses. Conventional models typically assume discrete delays, which may oversimplify real dynamics and reduce controller effectiveness. This work addresses this limitation by introducing a novel class of nonlinear energy models with distributed delay feedback governed by gamma-distributed memory kernels. Specifically, we consider both weak (exponential) and strong (Erlang-type) kernels to capture a spectrum of memory effects. Using the linear chain trick, we reformulate the resulting integro-differential model into a higher-dimensional system of ordinary differential equations. Analytical conditions for local asymptotic stability and Hopf bifurcation are derived, complemented by Lyapunov-based global stability criteria. The related numerical analysis confirms the theoretical findings and reveals a distinct stabilization regime. Compared to fixed-delay approaches, the proposed framework offers improved flexibility and robustness, with implications for delay-aware energy control and infrastructure design.