Mortgages, house prices, and business cycle dynamic: A medium-run exploration using the continuous wavelet transform

The paper investigates the relationship between mortgages and GDP in the U.S., utilizing continuous wavelet transform. Dynamic correlations reveal medium-term spectral interrelations, notably in mortgaging markets for housing purchases. Similar patterns emerge in the influence of house prices on GDP. Findings underscore the significance of medium-run housing market dynamics in shaping economic cycles, particularly when house price expansions drive real GDP growth. The study advocates for a nuanced understanding of the intricate connections between housing mortgaging and the real economy for comprehensive economic analysis.