Schurz (Synthese 164:201–234, 2008) proposed a justification of creative abduction on the basis of the Reichenbachian principle of the common cause. In this paper we take up the idea of combining creative abduction with causal principles and model instances of successful creative abduction within a Bayes net framework. We identify necessary conditions for such inferences and investigate their unificatory power. We also sketch several interesting applications of modeling creative abduction Bayesian style. In particular, we discuss use-novel predictions, confirmation, and the problem of underdetermination in the context of abductive inferences.

Modeling creative abduction Bayesian style / Feldbacher-Escamilla Christian, J.; Gebharter, Alexander. - In: EUROPEAN JOURNAL FOR PHILOSOPHY OF SCIENCE. - ISSN 1879-4912. - 9:1(2019), p. 9. [10.1007/s13194-018-0234-4]

Modeling creative abduction Bayesian style

Gebharter Alexander
Co-primo
Writing – Original Draft Preparation
2019-01-01

Abstract

Schurz (Synthese 164:201–234, 2008) proposed a justification of creative abduction on the basis of the Reichenbachian principle of the common cause. In this paper we take up the idea of combining creative abduction with causal principles and model instances of successful creative abduction within a Bayes net framework. We identify necessary conditions for such inferences and investigate their unificatory power. We also sketch several interesting applications of modeling creative abduction Bayesian style. In particular, we discuss use-novel predictions, confirmation, and the problem of underdetermination in the context of abductive inferences.
2019
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11566/306249
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