The simplest and most natural vol-of-vol estimator, the pre-estimated spot variance-based realized variance, is typically plagued by a large finite-sample bias. In this paper, we analytically show that allowing for the overlap of consecutive local windows to pre-estimate the spot variance may correct for this bias. In particular, we provide a feasible rule for the bias-optimal selection of the length of local windows when the volatility is a CKLS process. The effectiveness of this rule for practical applications is supported by numerical and empirical analyses.

Bias-optimal vol-of-vol estimation: the role of window overlapping / Toscano, G.; Recchioni, M. C.. - In: DECISIONS IN ECONOMICS AND FINANCE. - ISSN 1593-8883. - (2021). [10.1007/s10203-021-00349-4]

Bias-optimal vol-of-vol estimation: the role of window overlapping

Recchioni M. C.
Secondo
2021-01-01

Abstract

The simplest and most natural vol-of-vol estimator, the pre-estimated spot variance-based realized variance, is typically plagued by a large finite-sample bias. In this paper, we analytically show that allowing for the overlap of consecutive local windows to pre-estimate the spot variance may correct for this bias. In particular, we provide a feasible rule for the bias-optimal selection of the length of local windows when the volatility is a CKLS process. The effectiveness of this rule for practical applications is supported by numerical and empirical analyses.
2021
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Utilizza questo identificativo per citare o creare un link a questo documento: https://hdl.handle.net/11566/292169
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