Accuracy of bone marrow histochemical TP53 expression compared to the detection of TP53 somatic mutations in patients with myelodysplastic syndromes harbouring a del5q cytogenetic abnormality

: TP53 gene mutations are common in Myelodysplastic Syndromes (MDS) with del5q and have a clinical and prognostic significance. Next Generation Sequencing (NGS) is an accurate, but expensive, technique, and not commonly available. Immunohistochemistry (IHC) for TP53 expression has been recently used as a surrogate to assess TP53 mutations. To compare the concordance between TP53 expression in IHC and TP53 mutations by NGS, 30 cases with MDS harbouring a del5q abnormality were evaluated. Overall, 10/30 patients (33.3%) had TP53 mutations by NGS, while 16/29 (55.1%) had TP53 overexpression in IHC. TP53 expression by IHC had a 70% sensitivity to identify patients with TP53 mutation by NGS, but its specificity was low (52.6%, kappa = 0.198; P = 0.24). In addition, ROC curve analyses showed that the overall diagnostic value (accuracy) of TP53 expression in IHC to identify patients with TP53 mutation by NGS was 68% in the whole study sample and 67% in patients with isolated del5q-. In both cases, the areas under the curves did not attain the statistical significance (P = 0.11 and P = 0.29, respectively). Based on the ROC curve, the cut-off of 2.3% TP53 expression in IHC was shown to be the best cut-off to identify TP53 mutations: using this cut-off, the agreement between TP53 expression and TP53 mutation by NGS reached statistical significance (kappa = 0.42; P = 0.023). In conclusion, the agreement between TP53 expression in IHC and TP53 mutation analysis by NGS is rather unsatisfactory in MDS patients with del5q at the standard cut-off. Thus, the IHC technique cannot be considered a valid alternative to NGS evaluation of TP53 mutational status in these patients.